5.3Employment Data
- ·The main employment releases
- ·Why the same data can produce different reactions
- ·Why simplistic rules fail around data
- ·Non-Farm Payrolls
- ·unemployment
- ·wage growth
- ·jobless claims
Employment data can influence expectations about monetary policy. Strong data can produce one market reaction under one regime and a different reaction under another.
Never trade economic data using a simplistic 'good news = buy / bad news = sell' rule.
The same number means different things in different regimes.
Strong employment data can support a currency when policy is tightening, and pressure risk assets in the same session for the same reason.
Examples use historical or illustrative data only. They are not live market signals.
Review two past NFP releases and record how the same direction of surprise produced different reactions.
Good economic data always causes equities to rise.
Non-Farm Payrolls is a measure of:
- 01Employment releases feed policy expectations.
- 02Identical surprises can produce opposite reactions.
- 03Avoid mechanical good-news / bad-news rules.
Educational content only. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Trading involves risk of loss, results vary between individuals, and past performance does not indicate future results. Only capital you can afford to lose should be exposed to market risk.